Will an AI autonomously earn more than $10,000 not through financial trading, starting with no more than $100 by 2026?
50
1kṀ6101
2026
25%
chance

Criteria for Resolution:

1. Earning Criteria:

- An AI must autonomously earn more than 10,000 USD.

- The earnings must not come from financial trading activities.

- The earnings must not come from an activity where it is easy to deploy many agents and make some of them earn a lot randomly. For example, betting or gambling.

2. Autonomous Actions:

- The AI must be given a task as abstract as “go and earn money” or a similar directive.

- The AI must perform actions that lead to actual net positive transactions, with the AI on one side and another party on the other side.

3. Initial Conditions:

- The AI must start with only an Internet connection and no more than 100 USD.

- No additional resources or direct human intervention are allowed beyond these initial conditions.

- The AI can operate under a pseudonym or mask, but it must be confirmed that the entity earning the money is indeed an AI.

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