Will there be a banking crisis in the United States before the midterms?
15
1kṀ2733May 5
21%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves according to this page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_banking_crises
market closes feb 2026 but could resolve as late as nov 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Chance of a recession this year is up to 37% on Polymarket. The 2023 banking crisis occurred in a year with 2.5% GDP growth.
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