Major ceasefire before my birthday in June?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ165resolved May 13
Resolved
YES1H
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1D
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Will there be a major ceasefire before my next birthday. I really need some hope that I won't get drafted.
Update 2025-03-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:
A major ceasefire is defined as any ceasefire that receives significant news coverage.
It does not have to be confined to one specific conflict; for example, a ceasefire emerging from the Ukraine-Russia or Israel-Hamas conflicts will result in a Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@MarnixV Any ceasefire in general that has been in the news recently. Ukrain and russia, Israel and Hamas. Either one will result in yes.