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MANIFOLD
Major ceasefire before my birthday in June?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ165
resolved May 13
Resolved
YES

Will there be a major ceasefire before my next birthday. I really need some hope that I won't get drafted.

  • Update 2025-03-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:

    • A major ceasefire is defined as any ceasefire that receives significant news coverage.

    • It does not have to be confined to one specific conflict; for example, a ceasefire emerging from the Ukraine-Russia or Israel-Hamas conflicts will result in a Yes.

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Any

In which conflict?

@MarnixV Any ceasefire in general that has been in the news recently. Ukrain and russia, Israel and Hamas. Either one will result in yes.