Will Mana Sales Fall 50% in March, now that there is no Sweepstakes?
18
1kṀ8034
Mar 31
98%
chance

Manifold sold about $6,000 worth of Mana in February 2025. Now with the ending of sweepstakes, sales may plummet, or maybe sweepstakes didn't make a difference.

Will resolve No, if Mana sales are >$3,000 in March 2025. Yes if Mana sales are <$3,000.

Data from the sales on this page will be used: https://manifold.markets/stats

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We're halfway through March, and the total mana sales so far this month are:

Mar 2 - $30
Mar 3 - $110
Mar 4 - $5
Mar 14 - $110
Total: $255

So it's on track to drop by 95%, not just 50%.

@traders upgraded liquidity

bought Ṁ50 NO

@HillaryClinton Saddam Hussein

opened a Ṁ30 NO at 31% order

I would imagine the people interested in sweeps were buying Sweepcash and not mana.

@GleamingRhino They were bundled. You bought both at the same time.

sold Ṁ18 NO

@HillaryClinton I forgot that’s how it worked. Oops

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