At the start of 2028, resolve YES if and only if there is some option (any bulk) that costs less than $1 per 120 mana.

Note that the equilibrium probability for this market is lower than its true probability. This is because betting NO pays out high-value mana (by definition) and loses low-value mana (again by definition), while YES does the opposite. (the most extreme case would be something like "will Manifold still exist", where the equilibrium would be 100%). This is also experimental to see what happens in a situation like this