Will Harris lead in The Economist's Final election forecast?
Basic
3
Ṁ237Nov 7
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president
Whoever has a higher chance of winning. NOT THE POLLING AVERAGE
Whoever has a higher chance of winning per the final forecast, whenever that is released. Presumably the day before or on election day. If the answer is obvious I will resolve it November 4th.
Yes=Harris
No=Trump
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will Harris overtake Trump in Nate Silver's Presidential forecast?
Will Harris win the popular vote in the 2024 Election?
85% chance
Will Harris pull ahead in the final run of the Silver Bulletin forecast?
99% chance
Will Harris lead in the final 538 election forecast?
28% chance
if the election ends up being Trump vs Harris, who will win?
If the Democrats win the white house, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
39% chance
Will Republicans lead in The Economist's Final House forecast?
44% chance
Will Harris lead in Nate Silver's Final election forecast?
13% chance
If Harris is re-elected President, will the S&P 500 go up over election week?
51% chance