Will Harris lead in the final 538 election forecast?
Plus
75
Ṁ14kresolved Nov 5
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
Whoever has a higher chance of winning per the final forecast, whenever that is released. Presumably the day before or on election day. If the answer is obvious I will resolve it November 4th.
Yes=Harris
No=Trump
If tied 50:50, per the topline numbers, I will resolve this 50:50.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00