Will Harris lead in the final 538 election forecast?
Standard
51
แน7259Nov 2
80%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
Whoever has a higher chance of winning per the final forecast, whenever that is released. Presumably the day before or on election day. If the answer is obvious I will resolve it November 4th.
Yes=Harris
No=Trump
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Harris lead in the 538 election forecast on October 31st?
78% chance
Will Harris lead in Nate Silver's election forecast on October 31st?
84% chance
Kamala Harris Nate Silver election forecast on October 10?
When will Trump overtake Harris in 538's Presidential forecast?
Will Harris's chance of winning one day before the election be between 45% and 55% on electionbettingodds.com?
66% chance
Nate Silver's Presidential forecast - Will Harris reach 60% before Trump regains the lead?
Will 538 polling predict the correct winner of the presidential election?
55% chance
Will 538 show Harris as even or winning in Georgia before the election?
50% chance
Harris wins 2028 election?
32% chance
How confident will 538's final 2024 presidential election forecast be?