Will Harris lead in Nate Silver's Final election forecast?
90
1kαΉ14kresolved Nov 5
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
Whoever has a higher chance of winning. NOT THE POLLING AVERAGE
Whoever has a higher chance of winning per the final forecast, whenever that is released. Presumably the day before or on election day. If the answer is obvious I will resolve it November 4th.
Yes=Harris
No=Trump
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000π Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ3,526 | |
| 2 | αΉ588 | |
| 3 | αΉ261 | |
| 4 | αΉ256 | |
| 5 | αΉ238 |
People are also trading
Sort by:
