Will Harris lead in Nate Silver's Final election forecast?
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Ṁ4202Nov 2
58%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
Whoever has a higher chance of winning. NOT THE POLLING AVERAGE
Whoever has a higher chance of winning per the final forecast, whenever that is released. Presumably the day before or on election day. If the answer is obvious I will resolve it November 4th.
Yes=Harris
No=Trump
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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