In 2024 will there be fewer manifold market questions relating to Sam Altman compared to 2023?
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6
Ṁ93
Jan 1
60%
chance

Resolves YES if there are fewer markets opened in 2024 with "Sam Altman" specifically mentioned in either the questions or answers compared to 2023. Otherwise resolves NO. I will count the number of markets based on their launch date, irrespective of whether they are still open or have been resolved.

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This seems susceptible to manipulation by someone betting NO and then creating markets next year.

@topanter I had not thought of that, but you're right. (I will not bet either way)

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