In 2024 will there be fewer manifold market questions relating to Sam Altman compared to 2023?
6
25
Ṁ93Ṁ150
2025
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there are fewer markets opened in 2024 with "Sam Altman" specifically mentioned in either the questions or answers compared to 2023. Otherwise resolves NO. I will count the number of markets based on their launch date, irrespective of whether they are still open or have been resolved.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before 2030?
61% chance
Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?
42% chance
Will there be another major Sam Altman controversy?
60% chance
Will Sam Altman join the board of a current S&P 500 company by 2028?
52% chance
At the beginning of 2027, will Americans like Sam Altman more than they like Mark Zuckerberg?
69% chance
Will Sam Altman be considered a grifter by 2030?
Will Dwarkesh Patel interview Sam Altman by the end of 2024?
49% chance
Will Sam Altman start a new AI company before June 2024?
17% chance
Will we learn anything in the next 6 months that would significantly alter the Sam Altman Firing Market's resolution?
27% chance