Will the total number of Giving What We Can pledges made in 2024 be higher than in 2022?
Basic
19
๐•Š435
Dec 31
5%
chance

As per https://dashboard.effectivealtruism.org/public/question/a8499095-be16-46fe-af1f-e3e56ee04e88, or another data source if this one becomes unreliable.

This is asking about the number of official pledges made during that year, not made up until that year.

Note the years, this is comparing 2024 to 2022, not to 2023.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
#Effective Altruism
Get
แน€1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought ๐•Š2.00 NO

Currently standing at

2022: 1513 pledges
2024 YTD: 501 pledges

Disclaimer: I downloaded the CSV and asked chatgpt to compute this; I did not check its work

@diracdeltafunk As of today it's 594 (again by chatGPT and I did not check its code)

bought แน€500 NO

this refers to the actual pledge, not the trial pledge, right?

sold แน€264 NO

@Ziddletwix Correct, only the_pledge. Aggregate number for all months of 2024 vs 2022.

Any thoughts on why signups are currently looking weak for 2023?

@ElliotDavies Bad reputation for EA?

Related questions

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules