Will the Bing + ChatGPT leak from Owen Yin prove real?
18
70
350
resolved Feb 7
Resolved
YES

Student Owen Yin released a Medium post on February 3rd claiming to have screenshots/animations from the ChatGPT-powered "new Bing".

Several news sources ended up posting about the screenshots, but also mentioned "(The Verge has been unable to verify the authenticity of these screenshots and Microsoft declined to comment on the validity of these apparent leaks.)"

Will I end up believing this was a real (intentional or unintentional from Microsoft) leak, or fake? I expect this to play out in Q1-Q2 of 2023, but I'm leaving some extra room.

This will resolves YES if...
1) The actual product ends up looking remarkably similar to these screenshots.
2) The screenshots are confirmed by Microsoft or a very credible news source.
3) Credible live screen captures from multiple users are abundant to a point where extremely little doubt remains.

Feel free to suggest other ways to resolve this in the comments. I might end up resolving YES for other reasons as well, but will try to be more strict on those.


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Owen's tweet comparing the two lol

bought Ṁ100 of YES
bought Ṁ100 of YES

@firstuserhere Yep! Looks like the leak was spot on

sold Ṁ521 of YES

A Tweet by Henri Thunberg 🇬🇧

Is this ChatGPT-powered Bing real, or a student getting looots of free attention on his elaborate mockup? I just created a prediction market for it on @ManifoldMarkets https://manifold.markets/HenriThunberg/will-the-bing-chatgpt-leak-from-owe?r=SGVucmlUaHVuYmVyZw https://twitter.com/verge/status/1621572962284453889

A Tweet by Henri Thunberg 🇬🇧

Is this ChatGPT-powered Bing real, or a student getting looots of free attention on his elaborate mockup? I just created a prediction market for it on @ManifoldMarkets https://manifold.markets/HenriThunberg/will-the-bing-chatgpt-leak-from-owe?r=SGVucmlUaHVuYmVyZw https://twitter.com/verge/status/1621572962284453889

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