Will Melina stock go below 5% before 2024
21%
chance

Yes if proof of destiny melina stock perm goes below 5% before end of day jan 1 2024 no otherwise

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IsaacKing avatar

What does it mean for the stock to permanently go below 5%? How would this ever resolve YES? It could always bounce back later.

RSWats avatar
RSWats
is predicting NO at 20%

@IsaacKing Dipping below counts as far as I know

Simon1551 avatar
Simon
sold Ṁ777 of NO

777 the lucky number

yaboi69 avatar

It just doesn’t pencil out. The market mechanism (CPPM), the community sentiment, and the incentives created for traders here work against a value this extreme. At the moment you’d have to dump M$110K to crash the underlying stock, to gain some M$1K here – and anyone who bets against you here and there can pretty safely expect to profit way more. I don’t see a way around this.

HarrySeaton8da7 avatar
Harry Seaton
bought Ṁ300 of YES

@yaboi69 that does seem to be the case, as such i will treat this market as a leveraged long trade for will destiny and Melina divorce before eoy 2023. there is also a small chance she will do something so unpopular with the dgg comunity that the amount of M required to dumb the stock reduces significantly.

yaboi69 avatar
yaboi69
is predicting NO at 17%

@HarrySeaton8da7 If you let this market get very low & stacked with more limit orders, the offered payout for YES bets will be much better (still far from M$110K though), so that’s another reason to play it cool (other than that betting locks up your cash for unknown time).

HarrySeaton8da7 avatar
Harry Seaton
is predicting YES at 17%

@yaboi69 true, but i also benefit from more traders entering the market, and the incentive to bet lower also increases as liquidity increases in the market. thus driving me to continually bet the market much higher than it should be. whether this ends up profitable for me or in disaster is yet to be seen, we will see.

HarrySeaton8da7 avatar
Harry Seaton
is predicting YES at 17%

@HarrySeaton8da7 issue is i have traders that have joined this market now and seem to be watching it waiting for me to push it higher than it should be as that is an obvious profit opportunity for them.

HarrySeaton8da7 avatar
Harry Seaton
is predicting YES at 17%

@HarrySeaton8da7 go away simon 😭

Simon1551 avatar
Simon
bought Ṁ100 of NO

@HarrySeaton8da7 I mean I would but if I sell now I would lose mana 😉

HarrySeaton8da7 avatar
Harry Seaton
is predicting YES at 17%

@Simon1551 that would be ideal for me actually.

Simon1551 avatar
Simon
is predicting NO at 36%

This market should be at 15% at its highest

HarrySeaton8da7 avatar
Harry Seaton
bought Ṁ100 of YES

It will if I can help it ;)

RSWats avatar
RSWats
bought Ṁ100 of NO
HarrySeaton8da7 avatar
Harry Seaton
is predicting YES at 36%

@RSWats chump change

RSWats avatar
RSWats
is predicting NO at 36%
HarrySeaton8da7 avatar
Harry Seaton
is predicting YES at 36%

@RSWats go on

Simon1551 avatar
Simon
is predicting NO at 36%

@RSWats very good