Resolves as YES if an organization that identifies itself as "Effective Altruist" (or equivalent) commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035.

Criteria: The organization must have more than 20 active members. The organization must identify itself as "Effective Altruist." (Even if other EA groups denounce them as a fake EA movement, their self-identification will still count.) If the organization does not identify as EA, but they adhere to a philosophy that is widely recognized as a splinter of the original EA movement, then the "or equivalent" clause will be true. The human rights abuses are deemed to happen "for the greater good" if the organization uses utilitarian arguments to justify their crimes. The criteria for "serious human rights abuse" will be taken from the UN's Universal Declaration of Human Rights as it existed in 2022. The data for resolving the claim will come from a reputable news source.

I will use my best judgment to determine if the group's identification as EA is authentic. For example, if a street gang or a violent performance art group starts to identify themselves as EA, it's unlikely that I'll take their identification seriously. On the other hand, if a local LessWrong chapter uses a GoogleSheets-based utility calculation to justify a killing spree, then this claim resolves as YES (even if EA people say "that wasn't real EA").