Will global average temperatures decrease in the next 3 months?
5
1kṀ1953resolved Sep 27
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Big hurricane season expected if this fails to happen, as I understand it, per this NOAA report: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf
Sabine Hossenfelder tweet: https://x.com/skdh/status/1803653833152676251
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ114 | |
| 2 | Ṁ36 | |
| 3 | Ṁ33 |
Sort by:
You should probably also specify a source e.g. NASA https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
or NOAA https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202406
and whether you are going to compare June to September global temperature anomalies
@ChristopherRandles I did a ridiculous whipsaw on this, but it appears that both temps and anomaly are down from June: https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/?dm_id=world
People are also trading
Related questions
Climate change: In which month will the 30-year global warming trend first reach 1.42°C?
Climate change: In which month will the 30-year global warming trend first reach 1.41°C?
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2025?
19% chance
Will the world be hotter on average by one degree in 2 years?
8% chance
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?
66% chance
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?
72% chance
Will global carbon emissions decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 levels?
29% chance
Will global carbon dioxide levels decrease in any year before 2030
7% chance
Will global carbon dioxide levels decrease in any year before 2035?
22% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
36% chance