Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?
33
60
Ṁ960Ṁ660
2028
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Global energy-related CO2 emissions grew by 1.1% in 2023 (IEA), or by a mere 0.1% according to this Nature article.
Here is the graph for the past few years form IEA.
China alone grew around 565 Mt. China's growth was greater than the rest of the world's decrease but some think it may be close to peak.
Will 2027 emissions be lower than 2026?
This market will resolves based on IEA's numbers when released based on the actual change in CO2 emissions between the two years, no matter what extraordinary event (like COVID) may happen each year.
I have created the same markets for 2024, 2025 and 2026 and, at the time of market creation, none has reached >50%.
What about 2027?
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
What will be the annual mean CO2 level in 2030?
434
What will be the mean annual CO2 level in 2025?
424
What will be the mean annual CO2 level in 2024?
422
Will average CO2 levels decline in any year for any year before 2040?
32% chance
Will China electricity sector CO2 emissions decrease in 2024?
82% chance
Will the EU really end the sale of new CO2 cars by 2035?
46% chance
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?
50% chance
Will global carbon dioxide levels decrease in any year before 2030
9% chance