Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the next major municipal, park, monument, or federal building renovation/redevelopment project in Washington, D.C. officially ordered or initiated by President Donald Trump is the redevelopment of East Potomac Park (specifically including plans to transform its public golf course).

This market will resolve to NO if:

• The next major Washington, D.C. infrastructure, park, or federal building project officially announced or initiated by the Trump administration is a different initiative (such as the proposed painting of the Eisenhower Executive Office Building white), OR

• No such project is officially announced, ordered, or initiated by June 30, 2027.

Definitions & Details:

• "Major project": Any public-space renovation, monument construction, or federal building alteration in Washington, D.C., with an estimated cost or public funding footprint of over $1 million.

• Excluded Projects: Projects already officially underway, approved, or completed prior to June 2026—such as the 250-foot United States Triumphal Arch ("Arc de Trump") approved by the Commission of Fine Arts in May 2026 or the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool blue protective coating—do not count as the "next" project.

• Source of Truth: Official White House press releases, executive orders, or major mainstream media outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times).

Background

During his second term, President Donald Trump has asserted significant personal authority over public spaces and federal architecture in Washington, D.C. Following the controversial approval of the 250-foot "Arc de Trump" monument in May 2026 and the repainting of the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool in "American flag blue", reporting from the Associated Press and other outlets indicated that his next target for a major overhaul is East Potomac Park. Trump has repeatedly discussed plans to transform the park's affordable public golf course into a posh, "U.S. Open-caliber course". However, other potential federal makeovers remain on the table, including a $7.5 million plan to paint the granite Eisenhower Executive Office Building white.

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