When will Donald Trump die?
55
Ṁ1.2kṀ7.5k2036
7%
Before 2027
12%
Before 2028
21%
Before 2029
27%
Before 2030
42%
Before 2031
51%
Before 2032
59%
Before 2033
64%
Before 2034
71%
Before 2035
80%
Before 2036
86%
Before 2037
This is a cumulative probability market. Therefore, for example, if Trump dies in 2027, "Before 2026" and "Before 2027" resolve NO, and "Before 2028", "Before 2029", etc. will all resolve YES.
Answers will resolve early when time runs out and Trump has not yet died. For example, "Before 2026" will resolve NO if Trump has not died and 2026 has begun. There may be a delay before resolution to confirm that Trump has not died.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Donald Trump be alive by 31 December 2026?
93% chance
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
21% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
17% chance
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
33% chance
Will Donald Trump die during his term?
16% chance
How will Donald Trump die? (Before age 100)
When will Donald Trump lose power?
2029
How will Donald Trump die? (Add your own answer!)
Will Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2040?
11% chance
Will Trump die within 1 year after leaving office?
12% chance