Will the US be at war with Russia at any point until 2030?
128
1.4kṀ53532030
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There needs to be direct armed conflict, so stuff like cold war or proxy wars in general don't count.
US providing weapons to Ukraine (or any other country) but not operating them through its military also doesn't count.
In case of doubt, I'll ask random people within my social circle (not Russians, Americans and not Manifold users) whether the US is at war with Russia.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Russia attacks NATO by 2030?
21% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
34% chance
What countries will the US be at war with in 2034?
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
42% chance
Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?
24% chance
Will any of the following western countries go to war with each other before 2030?
8% chance
Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030?
24% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2030?
5% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
45% chance
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
12% chance