When the first windowless/partially windowless, autonomous car without steering wheel and with reversed seats launches? | Manifold

When the first windowless/partially windowless, autonomous car without steering wheel and with reversed seats launches?

6

100Ṁ165

2060

1.8%

2025-2030

7%

2030-2035

50%

2040-2045

8%

2045-2050

10%

2050-2060

23%

Other

Market resolves to the time period when a major automaker (top 20 by market cap) first releases a production vehicle with no/partial windows and reversed seat orientation. Vehicle must be fully autonomous (Level 5) with no driver controls.

Resolution based on official company announcements and verified automotive news sources.

Update 2025-11-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator
- Partial windows are defined as having windows only in the front and part of the sides.

Self-Driving Vehicles

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will a fully autonomous vehicle (Level 5) be commercially available to consumers by 2030?

+10% 1d53% chance

When will Waymo offer a public driverless ride of their next generation vehicles (Zeekr, possibly no steering wheel)?

When will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?

Will Microsoft launch its own self driving car (Just like Google Waymo)

Will Tesla release a full level 4 autonomy (no human behind the wheel) car / driver by the end of 2025?

Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?

When will Bryan Caplan buy his first driverless car?

Self driving only vehicles available in California before 2044

Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?

Which car company will allow a car to drive in 95%+ of the US without a driver in the driver's seat first?

Related questions

Will a fully autonomous vehicle (Level 5) be commercially available to consumers by 2030?

When will Waymo offer a public driverless ride of their next generation vehicles (Zeekr, possibly no steering wheel)?

When will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?

Will Microsoft launch its own self driving car (Just like Google Waymo)

Will Tesla release a full level 4 autonomy (no human behind the wheel) car / driver by the end of 2025?

Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?

When will Bryan Caplan buy his first driverless car?

Self driving only vehicles available in California before 2044

Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?

Which car company will allow a car to drive in 95%+ of the US without a driver in the driver's seat first?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy