Where will the ISS be on 5 November 2033?
Where will the ISS be on 5 November 2033?
11
245Ṁ9782033
50%
At the bottom of the Pacific Ocean - fully de-orbited
18%
Broken up - some modules re-used, mostly de-orbited
2%
Moved to a graveyard orbit for preservation
16%
Still in use - lifetime extended. Most of the current modules still in use.
4%
Mostly intact but no crew - remotely maintained in low earth orbit
3%
Mostly intact but abandoned due to multiple systems failures, unable to be controlled remotely, probably tumbling.
2%
It will be a large debris field (broken up by collision, orbital stress, accident, etc)
1.1%
Orbiting the Moon
3%
What will happen to the ISS?
Let me know in the comments if you have other answers!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the International Space Station be functional and crewed in 2025?
97% chance
Will International Space Station be in orbit on January 1, 2030?
78% chance
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2030?
62% chance
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2026?
98% chance
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027?
80% chance
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2029?
73% chance
Will the International Space Station be decommissioned by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will the international space station be officially decommissioned before the end of 2030?
50% chance
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028?
79% chance
Will there be a manned commercial space station in orbit at the end of 2025?
5% chance