MANIFOLD
Where will the ISS be on 5 November 2033?
12
Ṁ245Ṁ998
2033
36%
At the bottom of the Pacific Ocean - fully de-orbited
38%
Broken up - some modules re-used, mostly de-orbited
2%
Moved to a graveyard orbit for preservation
12%
Still in use - lifetime extended. Most of the current modules still in use.
4%
Mostly intact but no crew - remotely maintained in low earth orbit
2%
Mostly intact but abandoned due to multiple systems failures, unable to be controlled remotely, probably tumbling.
1.8%
It will be a large debris field (broken up by collision, orbital stress, accident, etc)
0.9%
Orbiting the Moon
3%
Other

What will happen to the ISS?

Let me know in the comments if you have other answers!

Market context
Space
Space exploration
ISS
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What is other for?

@GordanKnott it does feel weirdly high

Does "some modules re-used" only refer to the modules that are currently part of the ISS, or does it include things like the Axiom Orbital Segment that have not launched yet?

@dp9000 good question. If it's launched with the intention that it's a 'permanent' part of the station, then that counts.

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