GBU-57 bomb used in Iran?
22
100Ṁ2410
resolved Jun 22
Resolved
YES

The GBU-57 is the biggest bomb for ground penetration. It can go deeper than 50 meters and multiple can be used to go even deeper. It can be used against Iran to hit deep nuclear facilities.

If it's used in the next 30 days this will resolve as yes.

  • Update 2025-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified that this market requires confirmation that the GBU-57 bomb was specifically used, not just any type of bunker-buster bomb.

  • Update 2025-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they will resolve the market to YES based on the 'spirit of the bet'. A bomb used does not need to be confirmed as a GBU-57 specifically, as long as it is a comparable weapon like another 30,000-pound bunker buster.

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sold Ṁ0 YES

@deagol likely, but I haven't found mentions of the specific bomb being used yet

@GoncaloRebello https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06/21/world/iran-israel-trump/8c207bd2-a110-5a39-9083-68448f29a13d?smid=url-share

A U.S. official said that six B-2 bombers dropped a dozen 30,000-pound bunker buster bombs on the Fordo nuclear site, which lies deep underground, and Navy submarines fired 30 TLAM cruise missiles at the Natanz and Isfahan sites. One B-2 also dropped two bunker busters on Natanz, according to the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss military operations.

Edit: Are there any other, non-GBU-57 series, 30,000-pound bunker-busters?

@deagol doubt it. But I'll resolve it as yes because either way it fits the spirit of the bet. If it's not it would be a mere technicality.

reposted

Two B2 planes have been detected traveling to the middle east. This is the very plane used to launch the GBU 57!

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