How many of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2024?
How many of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2024?
11
1.1kṀ1838resolved Jan 16
100%9%
1
7%
0
35%
2
13%
3
7%
4
7%
5
7%
6
5%
7
3%
8
3%
9
2%
10
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ58 | |
| 2 | Ṁ50 | |
| 3 | Ṁ38 | |
| 4 | Ṁ37 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
📜Which of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2025?
Will 10% of New York city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
3% chance
Will more than 100 people in NYC get Ebola in 2025?
4% chance
[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
68% chance
Will a hurricane hit New York / New Jersey this year?
5% chance
Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?
51% chance
Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?
43% chance