How many billionaires will New York City lose in 2026?

Question

Resolution criteria

Resolves identically to this kalshi market.

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnycbillionaires/billionaires-lost/kxnycbillionaires-26

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, At least 3, followed by At least 8 and At least 13 are most likely. See the market for live updates (1 traders, as of Jun 4, 2026).

Resolution criteria

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