
Will SBF spend at least one month in jail?
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830Ṁ17kresolved Nov 4
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I bought some no. I expect it's very likely that he'll spend at least 1 month out of his life in prison, but I expect it'll be at least 3 years before that happens, and in the meantime there will probably be some piece of news that drops this down to like 70%. I'll sell then.
Arb - it's lower than the market for SBF spending one year in jail https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-sbf-spend-at-least-one-year-in
He's just been arrested in the Bahamas, seems pretty likely he'd at least spend a month there https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-63953096
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