Resolvable?

I bought some no. I expect it's very likely that he'll spend at least 1 month out of his life in prison, but I expect it'll be at least 3 years before that happens, and in the meantime there will probably be some piece of news that drops this down to like 70%. I'll sell then.

Arb - it's lower than the market for SBF spending one year in jail https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-sbf-spend-at-least-one-year-in

He's just been arrested in the Bahamas, seems pretty likely he'd at least spend a month there https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-63953096

This should close after Jan 2030, this is extremely misleading otherwise.

Related:

Why was this trading below the year market? 🤔

Will SBF spend at least one month in jail?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition