Will Claude be public during 2023?
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

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Claude API still waitlisted according to https://docs.anthropic.com/claude/docs/getting-access-to-claude

Is @Gigacasting ever coming back? They have been MIA since May.

predictedYES

Maybe the @Manifold mods can resolve this?

It is now fully public. This can resolve YES. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/11/anthropic-an-openai-rival-opens-claude-2-ai-chatbot-to-the-public.html

Anthropic — the $4.1 billion OpenAI rival — debuts new A.I. chatbot and opens it to public
Anthropic, founded two years ago by former OpenAI research executives, debuted its new AI chatbot called Claude 2, and invited the public to use it

@BTE Notice "Open API" in the market description. I think API access is still under waitlist, even though there's a web UI publicly available.

(I saw the news within 5 minutes of it being announced and looked for this exact market to bet on before seeing it wouldn't count)

predictedYES

@Mira I did the exact same thing, just like 20 minutes and less attention to detail later.

Claude is already public and free to use in slack.

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Will Anthropic release a Claude version > 4.1 before October 2025?
43% chance
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2% chance
Will Claude become a Pokèmon Master by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will Anthropic host a Claude Minecraft Twitch stream before 2026?
19% chance
Will Claude 4 achieve over 95% on the MMLU-Pro benchmark by end of 2025?
11% chance
Claude 5 released before March 31?
42% chance
Will Claude Become a Pokemon Master before 2027?
87% chance
Will Claude MCP have equivalent functionality to a Claude Computer Use module by EOY2025?
57% chance
Will Claude Opus be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard two years from today (3/10/24)?
6% chance
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
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