If atomoxetine is added to the Troof's nootropics survey before 2030, what would it's "Probability of life-changing effect" be?
2
100Ṁ1012030
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Troofs post in question:
https://troof.blog/posts/nootropics/#probability-of-life-changing-effect
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I believe that Klotho gene therapy in adults is a nontrivial cognitive enhancer (order of >5 IQ pts) EOY 2025?
39% chance
Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?
37% chance
What will be the next compound produced and tested by the ITP that will be shown to have a statistically significant effect on both median and 90th percentile lifespan?
Will Adderall be legalized OTC by end of 2030?
5% chance
If a treatment is shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial by 2030, what was the treatment?
By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?
48% chance
What will be the next compound tested by the Interventions Testing Program (ITP) shown to have a statistically significant effect on lifespan?
Will a drug to be used by most healthy adults be approved by 2043 year end?
70% chance
By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?
Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030?
24% chance