Will I get my baggage back?
60
627
1.3K
resolved Nov 5
Resolved
YES

my path: Adelaide->Melbourne->Fiji->San Francisco

I was initially told it was still in Fiji, and would likely be on the next flight. Airline = Fiji airways

6ish hours later they called to give me a reference number

18 hours later they called to say it is not in San Francisco, so I started to replace stuff

It is now 41 hours since I discovered it missing, and there has been no call to tell me the bag is located or arrived in SF, though they said they would let me know if it arrived and they would post it.

Resolves YES if I hear that my baggage still exists before November 9th - that's the day I'll be filing an insurance claim.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted NO

I should have had a market for this too, but I figured I'll post an update for anyone who might lose a bag in future! Pro tip: don't accept the first offer

I claimed expenses of 993USD + 168AUD, asked for $1686AUD settlement

2 weeks ago, they offered me $508 USD and I declined, I told my insurer that I will accept it if they cover the difference, or they can contact Fiji to increase the offer

Today Fiji offered me $993.52 USD or $1,571.99 AUD which I have accepted as AUD! (the exchange rate is worse now, accepting the USD would only be $1,460

Assuming they don't take months to pay me, this is finally concluded! 🥳

They also spelt my name wrong (Tom instead of Tod) on every piece of correspondence even though I corrected them every time. Hopefully that doesn't interfere with my payment

predicted NO

A surprising turn of events! 🙌

I have no idea why I sold, the base rate must be higher than 35% for stuff like this

predicted NO

@Joshua there's no logic in this outcome - who could be that optimistic?

predicted NO

@shankypanky Yes! Happy to have my stuff!

Weird details

  • The main lock on the bag is reset/broken so it doesn’t lock anymore

  • My full name is visible on the airport tags, as well as all the tracking info

  • Nothing appears missing

predicted NO

@Gen tbh it's a shame there's no way of telling the potentially interesting journey it's been on all this time 😅

and tbh, personally, if it weren't for the paperwork and unnecessary hoops, sometimes I'd rather have a payout than my stuff

predicted NO

Ok apparently I have to wait 21 days to file the lost baggage claim. That would be November 14th.

if anyone objects we can stick with the current criteria but I’m inclined to extend by 5 days, as that’s when they actually consider it “lost”

sold Ṁ48 of YES

Seems reasonable to extend

predicted NO

@Gen agree it's reasonable to extend

predicted NO

@Gen Extending is fine

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Rooting for ya

predicted NO

in 3 hours it will have passed the timeline where I can start sending them bills for things - I think they’ll payout $1500USD in “reasonable bills” and then a further $750AUD from my insurer if I surpass that

Will it motivate them to find my bag if I start by lodging a $300usd claim? (My first target receipt)

2 traders bought Ṁ15 YES
predicted NO

They called me to update information, but it honestly seemed like they were just trying to pretend to do something - everything they asked I already gave them

bought Ṁ38 of YES

I know someone who got it back after 4 weeks. You'll get it back.

predicted NO

@JustifieduseofFallibilism Hmm ok, I plan to resolve November 9th San Francisco time, which is roughly a day after I arrive back in Australia

predicted YES

@Gen actually, I checked again they got it back after 7 months, and i think that's actually pretty common for lost luggage. So maybe wait a little with the resolution.

predicted NO

@JustifieduseofFallibilism

7 months 💀💀💀

I don’t really want to extend resolution as I’ve already said when it will close/resolve, but that would be interesting to get it back so late..

If I don’t get it before I go back home, it’s less useful to me anyway as I’ll have already replaced some of the stuff and wasted half of my trip in shops

predicted YES

@Gen You could make a second market on Nov 10th, if you didn't get it back, for the next 6 months or so. Just for fun.

For future, buy airtags or equivalent and always keep it in the baggage when travelling. The peace of mind is way worth it

bought Ṁ10 of YES

I believe

bought Ṁ30 of NO

@Joshua If this could somehow reach the Fiji airways staff and motivate them to manipulate the market, that’d be great. I’ll keep incentivising and buying NO..