This market is centered around whether the paid incentive schemes offered by Elon Musk's America PAC, which include cash payments for petition signatures, friend referrals, and million-dollar "giveaways," will ultimately be ruled illegal by a U.S. legal authority. Specifically, we are looking at actions such as:

Paid incentives include:

• Direct payments to individuals for signing petitions

• Cash incentives for referring friends

• Million dollar "giveaways" tied to political actions or advocacy

For this market, "ruled illegal" means that a U.S. court, regulatory body, or equivalent authority issues a formal ruling that declares one or more of these actions violate existing laws (e.g., federal or state election laws, campaign finance regulations, anti-corruption statutes, etc.).

Legal Process Consideration:
If any of the actions mentioned above are challenged in court, and a ruling is made that these activities are unlawful, I will wait for the final resolution of any legal appeals before resolving this market. If an initial ruling is overturned or amended upon appeal, the market will remain unresolved until the final ruling is issued.

• Update 2025-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they will:

  • Perform a cursory search within approximately a day or two from their comment.

  • If, as a result of this search, nothing is suggested or found that they deem worth waiting for regarding a potential ruling of illegality, the market will be resolved to NO.