Resolution criteria

It looks like Andy Burnham will become the next Prime Minister of the UK, but will he face a challenge from another qualified candidate?

“YES” - The Contested Election Scenario - If another candidate secures the necessary 20% backing from fellow Labour MPs to force a ballot, this will resolve YES.

“NO” - The "Coronation" Scenario - If no other Labour MP mounts a viable challenge to Andy Burnham before the nomination windows close, this will resolve NO.

General Election Exception: In the unlikely event that a general election is held before the next Prime Minister is determined, this market will resolve to YES.

🕰️ If Andy Burnham faces no opposition or delay then this market is set to end on July 17th when he is due to be sworn in.

⏰ If there is a contested election then this is set to be done by the 1st of September.

‼️In the unlikely event of a general election, this market will end as soon as CONFIRMED