They’re dying, Russians and Ukrainians. I want them to stop dying. And I’ll have that done — I’ll have that done in 24 hours. - Donald J. Trump
That's hyperbolic, but how about 24 days?
Resolution Criteria:
End of War: Defined as a mutually agreed ceasefire or peace agreement signed by Ukraine and Russia.
Timeline: The agreement must be signed within 24 days of Trump’s inauguration.
Verification: Confirmation from recognized news sources or statements from official government sources in Ukraine, Russia, and the U.S.
Sister market:
Update 2024-27-12 (PST): - The ceasefire must have some permanence and cannot be a temporary or short-term agreement. (AI summary of creator comment)
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ272 | |
2 | Ṁ120 | |
3 | Ṁ110 | |
4 | Ṁ93 | |
5 | Ṁ73 |
Looks like ol' Donald John is gonna need some more time, so I made a 24-week version of this market.
https://manifold.markets/GazDownright/will-trump-end-the-russiaukraine-wa-RAy2L5I05I