Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24h of his inauguration?
Basic
16
Ṁ1881resolved Jan 21
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
They’re dying, Russians and Ukrainians. I want them to stop dying. And I’ll have that done — I’ll have that done in 24 hours. - Donald J. Trump
Resolution Criteria
End of War: Defined as a mutually agreed ceasefire or peace agreement signed by Ukraine and Russia.
Timeline: The agreement must be signed within 24 hours of Trump’s inauguration.
Verification: Confirmation from recognized news sources or statements from official government sources in Ukraine, Russia, and the U.S.
Sister market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ83 | |
| 2 | Ṁ18 | |
| 3 | Ṁ12 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 | |
| 5 | Ṁ9 |
Sort by:
@GazDownright it wasn't my market, I just comment with arbitrage opportunities whenever I see a big difference with prices. At the moment nothing seems crazy to me, but here's the market:
Related questions
Related questions
Will The Russia-Ukraine War End Within 90 days of Trump Taking Office? [see description]
14% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
71% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 days of his inauguration?
1% chance
Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
58% chance
Will Trump End the War in Ukraine Within 90 Days of Taking Office?
15% chance
Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire or other cessation of hostilities before the 100th day of Trump’s term?
18% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
70% chance
Will Joe Biden live to see the Russia-Ukraine war end?
74% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?
10% chance
Will Trump visit Ukraine during his term?
59% chance