Will development of a universal flu vaccine have made significant progress by 2026?
Plus
25
Ṁ6532025
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a "universal flu vaccine" has entered phase III trials by the beginning of 2026. See, eg, recent news.
I'm using "universal flu vaccine" colloquially for the purposes of this question--it wouldn't need to target every possible flu strain but might, for example, target certain elements of a virus common to the majority of flu viruses that infect humans.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?
48% chance
Will there be an avian flu pandemic before 2026?
28% chance
Will an H5N1 mRNA vaccine be developed and enter "late stage" human trials (or wider release) by July 2025?
61% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?
71% chance
Will the FDA issue an EUA or full approval for an mRNA H5N1 vaccine by 2025?
25% chance
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be available by the end of 2032?
72% chance
By 2026, will the majority of the USA flu vaccine supply be egg-free?
55% chance
Will the CDC recommend the flu vaccine for the majority of Americans for the 2050 flu season?
64% chance
Will a dengue vaccine based on TV003/TV005 be approved before 2050?
60% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?
28% chance