
By 2026, will the majority of the USA flu vaccine supply be egg-free?
9
170Ṁ93Dec 31
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently, the US vaccine supply is 20% egg-free; cell-based (from cultured cells) and the recombinant influenza vaccine have been increasing in market share quickly. By the end of 2025, will at least 51% of the American flu vaccine supply be egg-free?
If available, I will use data from the CDC to resolve this market; because of this, market resolution may be delayed until data is published.
Close date updated to 2025-12-31 6:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?
70% chance
Will development of a universal flu vaccine have made significant progress by 2026?
57% chance
Will the US distribute a broadly available vaccine for the 2025-26 flu season by November 1, 2025?
84% chance
In which quarter of 2025 will US egg prices peak?
Will the CDC recommend the flu vaccine for the majority of Americans for the 2035 flu season?
87% chance
Will the CDC recommend the flu vaccine for the majority of Americans for the 2050 flu season?
64% chance
Will there be a 1m+ bird flu outbreak in humans in the US by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will there be an avian flu pandemic before 2026?
14% chance
Will an H5N1 mRNA vaccine be developed and enter "late stage" human trials (or wider release) by July 2025?
55% chance
IF RFK is HHS Secretary and H5N1 transmits human-to-human in the US, will he try to curtail vaccine production?
58% chance