Will the winter flu shot be hard to obtain in the US in 2025/26?
7
600Ṁ1059
Mar 2
12%
chance

Background: FDA cancels meeting to select flu strains for next season's shots - NBC

Will the regular winter flu shot be markedly less available than it was in the previous 2024/25 winter season?

This will be determined based on mainstream media reporting. I will not trade in this market.

I don't have objective criteria for this at the moment. I welcome suggestions but expect it will probably be subjective in the end, based on whether flu vaccine (un)availability is in the news or not.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ500 NO

Resolves to NO? My subjective experience is that it has been no different than previous years.

@CollectedOverSpread probably. I think waiting a bit could make sense.

reposted

Winter coming soon!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy