
When will Manifold shut down?(READ DESC)
When will Manifold shut down?(READ DESC)
7
100Ṁ2532027
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to 100%-(days from the date of creation of this market/10).
Resolves no on july 10th 2027.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
When will manifold shut down?
When will manifold love shut down?
When will manifold go defunct? (Add answer)
When will Manifold run out of money?
If a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down?
93% chance
Will Manifold be subject to a DDoS attack before the end of 2025?
67% chance
How will Manifold die?
Will I be the top creator on Manifold when the website shuts down?
50% chance
Will another unofficial mana financial service/product ran by users be shut down by Manifold by EOY 2026?
74% chance
When will Manifold IPO?