Will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
Plus
38
Ṁ50292026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will American soldiers be on the ground in Iran before 2026? It doesn’t need to be part of an official war, but they need to be active duty soldiers.
Resolves N/A if I’ve missed something and there are already American soldiers active in Iran.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@MattP Regular duty, this is trying to be a proxy for war that doesn't require war to actually be declared.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
23% chance
Given who wins the US election, will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
Will the US be at war with Iran by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will the US bomb sites in Iran in 2024
15% chance
Will the US attack Iran by Dec 15th 2024?
11% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
15% chance
Will the US and Iran go to war by end 2024?
6% chance
Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?
34% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Israeli soldiers set foot in Iran before the end of 2025?
9% chance