Will IBM produce a functional 100,000 qubit quantum-centric computing system by 2033?
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The field of quantum computing has experienced unparalleled development in recent years, and has spurned popular interest along with it. Quantum computing offers a unique platform to model complex simulations which classical computers are incapable of processing within a reasonable time span, yet both types of computers can serve as a supplement to each other.

This ability lies in the nature of quantum mechanics, as the basic unit of a quantum computer - called a "qubit" - can oscillate in between a 0 or 1 state, as opposed to regular binary code.

On May 22, 2023, IBM announced their 100,000 qubit quantum-centric computer which would utilize their new modular Quantum System Two design. Along with this, however, IBM's most powerful quantum processor at the moment - Osprey - consists of 433 qubits.

If IBM accomplishes this feat, their new supercomputer could spur breakthroughs in drugs/medicine, batteries, weather prediction, and possibly even age reversal if specific molecules can be found if we find a way to make AI compatible with this kind of machine. The question is: will this happen within the next 10 years? Let me know what y'all think!

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So their latest is IBM condor with 1121 qubits https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/IBM_Condor. Announced in December 2023, a year after osprey. That's a 2.5x improvement in 13 months. They've seen ~2x improvements annually. If that holds, we would see a 100k qubit computer in 2030.

That's aggressive, but the timeline is generous and a lot can happen in ten years