Will the future Manifold home screen show me markets I haven't seen before?
7
39
แน€150
May 7
87%
chance

I feel like the home screen just shows me markets I've already seen many times. It's not very helpful, except for the occasional boost.

After market close (six months) I will open the home screen on mobile and scroll through the first 30 markets I see. If 6 or more are unfamiliar to me, market resolves YES.

Unfamiliar means any of:

  • I've never seen the market before

  • I've forgotten the market such that I'm not sure if I've seen it before

  • I've seen the market before but there is a new development that I am interested in and haven't already seen (e.g. big swing or interesting comment).

For this last one, note that I get notifications for comments on markets I've bet in, and I check my notifications before the home screen. Also, I tend to monitor big swings in my own portfolio. Both of these make it less likely that I won't have already seen new developments.

Sister market for a shorter timescale: is the home screen actually as bad as I think it is today?

I will not bet in this market, as it's unverifiable and subjective.

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just updated today, maybe it will help