
In 2024, will China introduce new export tariffs on rare earth elements?
56
1.7kṀ14kresolved Jan 9
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is part of the Humans v Bots Battle 2024, where AI forecasters will duke it out on the most important world questions of 2024. Can you beat the bots and snag part of the 250,000 Mana (~$2.5k) prize?
China has a history of using export tariffs as a tool to achieve political and economic goals, including in the rare earth industry, and this could be a major play in the ongoing trade wars, and have an affect on the budding AI and clean energy geopolitical conflicts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ1,138 | |
2 | Ṁ358 | |
3 | Ṁ347 | |
4 | Ṁ104 | |
5 | Ṁ90 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Which country will the US sign a rare earths deal with first ?
Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?
93% chance
Will any country place new tariffs on Tesla in 2025?
45% chance
Will CNSA's Chang'e-6 discover significant amounts of rare earth elements?
32% chance
Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?
64% chance
In what year will China establish a domestic semiconductor supply chain that is not vulnerable to sanctions?
2035
Will the tariffs be successful in bringing back manufacturing to the US ? (2026)
2.5