Will at least 50K Ukrainians die from Nuclear attacks in 2022?
Basic
9
Ṁ1787
resolved Feb 4
Resolved
NO

In the event of needing a body count, I'll refer to whichever estimates are available. If none are available I'll try to make a reasonable guess. For semi-attributable and delayed-attributable (e.g. some people starving due to infrastructure loss) I'll try to make inclusions if it seems obvious those deaths would not have happened without the nuclear exchange.

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predictedNO

@FRCassarino No nukes used yet, so it'd be hard for 50k to have died by them. Should be safe to resolve to NO.

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