
Will the top chatbot be covered by, and compliant with, SB 1047 as of 2026-02-01?
6
1kṀ22kresolved Oct 4
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the top chatbot on the LMSys leaderboard be covered by, and compliant with, SB 1047?
Covered by: SB 1047 must have been enacted. It must apply to the model in question, including any requirements about operating locales and compute thresholds.
Compliant with: Appears to be meeting the requirements based on news reporting and company statements, with no ongoing lawsuits or other legal action brought by the state of California alleging noncompliance.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ504 | |
2 | Ṁ145 | |
3 | Ṁ113 | |
4 | Ṁ85 | |
5 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will California SB 1047 pass? | What will the highest Chatbot Arena elo of an open source model be at the start of 2026?
Will a OpenAI, Anthropic, Google or Meta release an AI chatbot that has ads in the responses in 2025?
35% chance
Meta to release world's most advanced AI?
11% chance
Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?
40% chance
If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?
45% chance
Will the LMSYS Chatbot Arena still be 'a thing' in 2027, under the same evaluation method?
36% chance
If not passed, will there be any open source model that would have been covered by SB 1047, by January 1st 2027?
65% chance
By 2026, will a proeminent chatbot with some access to the internet do something actually harmful and unintended?
68% chance
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
69% chance
Thinking Machines to top Chatbot Arena by EOY 2026?
17% chance