Will the Jones Act be loosened if and only if Trump wins the presidency?
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2029
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This question will resolve Yes if Trump wins the presidency and the Jones Act is loosened, or if he doesn't and it isn't. It will resolve No if Trump loses the presidency and the Jones Act remains, or if he loses and it is loosened. (By the end of the next presidential term, 2028-01-21, as per the underlying market.)

This is a derivative market, and will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets:
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election

/EvanDaniel/will-the-jones-act-be-repealed-or-s

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I don't think that Trump will win the election, and I don't think he'll spend a penny of political capital to try to get the Jones Act changed. He doesn't give a fuck.

I will not trade in this market until resolution criteria for the underlying are fully specified.

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