My doorstep, in good condition, I actually satisfactorily receive them, before (approximately) market close.
I'll place a single no bet at question creation, and won't bet after that.
Update 2025-12-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Creator has provided an Amazon wishlist as a method for delivery: https://www.amazon.com/hz/wishlist/ls/2AWYM444HO5RB?ref_=wl_share
@EvanDaniel Wait, I think this person has a point. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kiwi_%28nickname%29?wprov=sfla1
@Eliza resolves to 100% if on day 1, lower for later days?
But for this one I was just trying to literally do the tweet.
@EvanDaniel There might not be another one if you die of hunger due to not getting any Kiwis from your play money online prediction market.
@Quroe price gets too high. I break my lease and immediately move to a new apartment, thus thwarting delivery and winning the mispriced liquidity.
@Quroe You might be able to hunt it down. Or you could ask! Or find a manifold user who knows it and collaborate.
@EvanDaniel Alternate route to victory: send 4 kiwis to every doorstep. I just need to be right once.
@Quroe we can also solve this via Amazon wishlist, I think?
https://www.amazon.com/hz/wishlist/ls/2AWYM444HO5RB?ref_=wl_share
@Eliza I love the outcome where someone buys the Kiwis, bets Yes, they are delivered late and it resolves No.
@EvanDaniel I must not understand how to do this, it is trying to deliver it to me instead. I'm just going to buy more No shares!
