Will RocketLab have at least 16 orbital launches in 2024?
13
แน130แน3kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
RocketLab flew 9 successful flights in 2022, followed by 7 succesful orbital flights before a failure in 2023 so far. At the time of the failure, Wikipedia listed 16 total launches for 2023 including the failure and 8 planned launches.
This resolves Yes if RocketLab has at least 16 orbital launch attempts in 2024. This includes test flights as well as commercial flights, and includes both Electron and Neutron (and any other hypothetical orbital rocket they fly). The flights need not succeed, but they must lift off from the pad. It does not include suborbital flights such as the HASTE mission.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
๐ Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน70 | |
| 2 | แน60 | |
| 3 | แน30 | |
| 4 | แน24 | |
| 5 | แน13 |
Sort by:
@ChristopherRandles in general I'm not a fan of early resolution on stuff like this, especially now that loans are back. But it can resolve now.
People are also trading
Related questions
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?
10% chance
Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
81% chance
Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
27% chance
Will the amount of yearly orbital space launches triple again in the next 5 years?
50% chance