Will RocketLab have at least 16 orbital launches in 2024?
6
60
130
2025
79%
chance

RocketLab flew 9 successful flights in 2022, followed by 7 succesful orbital flights before a failure in 2023 so far. At the time of the failure, Wikipedia listed 16 total launches for 2023 including the failure and 8 planned launches.

This resolves Yes if RocketLab has at least 16 orbital launch attempts in 2024. This includes test flights as well as commercial flights, and includes both Electron and Neutron (and any other hypothetical orbital rocket they fly). The flights need not succeed, but they must lift off from the pad. It does not include suborbital flights such as the HASTE mission.

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