Revenue from H1b visa fees, 2026?
4
1kṀ9552027
5,500 $m
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
34%
0 - 1000
23%
1000 - 2000
7%
2000 - 3000
7%
3000 - 5000
7%
5000 - 8000
7%
8000 - 13000
7%
13000 - 21000
4%
21000 - 34000
2%
34000+
Lower bounds inclusive, upper bounds exclusive.
Based on best credible reporting, or my best estimate if not available. (That might be a research-enabled AI estimate; if some mod is resolving this for me I recommend that approach.)
Context: Trump has proposed a $100k visa fee. It's unclear if that's per-year or one-time, and whether it applies to new applicants only or annual renewals. The current visa cap is 85,000 new visas per year, with approximately 730,000 holders in the US currently. Renewals are not counted towards the cap.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the H-1B visa cap increase by at least 50% or be removed before Fiscal Year 2027?
14% chance
Will the H1B visa cap be raised (above 85000) for fiscal year 2027?
17% chance
All 85,000 H1-B lottery slots for the next cycle filled despite $100k fee?
48% chance
Federal court blocks Trump's $100,000 H-1B visa fee by October 15, 2025?
15% chance
Will the H1B visa cap be raised (above 85000) for fiscal year 2028?
36% chance
H-1B selection becomes wage-based rather than lottery-based by January 2027
29% chance
Will the H-1B country caps be raised or eliminated in 2025?
13% chance
Will EB-5 visas still be available in mid 2026 as an active program for investor Visas in the USA?
69% chance
Will the H1B visa cap be raised (above 85000) for fiscal year 2026?
5% chance
US issues 85k new H-1B visas in FY2027? (Conditional on 100k fee implementation)
48% chance