MANIFOLD
Revenue from H1b visa fees, 2026?
4
Ṁ1kṀ955
2027
5,500 $m
expected
34%
0 - 1000
23%
1000 - 2000
7%
2000 - 3000
7%
3000 - 5000
7%
5000 - 8000
7%
8000 - 13000
7%
13000 - 21000
4%
21000 - 34000
2%
34000+

Lower bounds inclusive, upper bounds exclusive.

Based on best credible reporting, or my best estimate if not available. (That might be a research-enabled AI estimate; if some mod is resolving this for me I recommend that approach.)

Context: Trump has proposed a $100k visa fee. It's unclear if that's per-year or one-time, and whether it applies to new applicants only or annual renewals. The current visa cap is 85,000 new visas per year, with approximately 730,000 holders in the US currently. Renewals are not counted towards the cap.

Market context
Trump's Second Term
Business
Economics
Immigration
US Economy
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The fine print clearly lays out “at the Secretary of Homeland Security’s discretion”. $100k fee can easily be bypassed with a timely $50k “donations”. Those Rolexes don’t pay for themselves nor by a governor’s salary. Standard operating procedure.

@VNetChrome Yep, if the fees are routinely bypassed and waived, that's not fee revenue.

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