Pairwise state results: which pairs of states / districts will vote the same way in the 2024 Presidential Election?
34
4.1kṀ9239
resolved Nov 10
Resolved
YES
GA and NV
Resolved
YES
NC and NV
Resolved
YES
ME-2 and NC
Resolved
YES
ME-2 and OH
Resolved
YES
IA and OH
Resolved
YES
GA and NC
Resolved
YES
OH and PA
Resolved
YES
MI and OH
Resolved
YES
FL and PA
Resolved
YES
AZ and FL
Resolved
YES
MI and PA
Resolved
YES
GA and TX
Resolved
YES
GA and PA
Resolved
YES
MI and WI
Resolved
YES
PA and WI
Resolved
YES
TX and FL
Resolved
YES
FL and GA
Resolved
YES
IA and PA
Resolved
YES
NH and VA
Resolved
YES
AZ and NV

This will resolve exactly as this market resolves: /Gabrielle/which-states-will-be-won-by-the-dem-540e6b923486

If there are delays, individual options will be resolved as they are able.

"The same way" will be treated as "resolves the same way in the underlying market"; if one state in a pair votes R and the other votes Independent, both will (presumably) resolve as "No" in the underlying (not Dem), and therefore the pair will resolve Y in this market.

If you want to add pairs, please follow the format above exactly. Two letter state code, alphabetically first state code first. Hopefully this will help avoid duplicates. Please add markets that are interesting or informative for some reason; I don't think we want a market on whether HI and NY will vote the same way here.

I'll probably close this for new additions before we hit the 100-sub question limit given the performance issues we've seen on some larger markets.

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