Resolves according to https://spaceweather.com/ - "Starlink Statistics"
Background:
https://spaceweather.com/archive.php?view=1&day=18&month=03&year=2026
Data Sources:
1 - https://planet4589.org/space/con/star/stats.html
2 - https://aerospace.org/reentries/grid
3 - https://www.spacex.com/launches
Criteria:
Spaceweather.com is updated nearly everyday. Market will resolve based on 2026 total displayed on Dec 31st, 2026 11:59 PM (Eastern Time) regardless if the data has been updated for that day. For example: 2026 total could display "905" Updated: 29 Dec 2026 and the market will resolve YES 901-1000 and all other options will resolve NO.
If the sidebar on Spaceweather.com is removed, I will post additional comments with instructions on how the total will be determined from the data sources above. If access to the data is not available, and no other suitable alternatives exist, market will resolve N/A.
*Options will resolve NO as the total number for that option is surpassed. For example, Iff the total reaches 701, the 200-700 option resolves NO immediately.
Update 2026-07-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding Starlinks deployed but not part of the network (e.g., from Starship suborbital tests):
If Starlinks are not deployed, they will likely not count toward the total
If Starlinks are deployed but non-operational, the creator will monitor aerospace.org (Data Source #2) for predicted reentries to determine if/when they count
Ultimately, the count depends on what Spaceweather.com displays
Does this market count the 20 Starlinks that are going to re-enter from Starship's suborbital test tomorrow? Does it count if the Starlinks are not deployed?
Edit: I guess it's up to Spaceweather
@Mqrius I assume the 20 will not count if they are not deployed, but ultimately up to Spaceweather. if they are deployed I will be watching data source #2 aerospace.org for predicted reentires. They are functioning, but won't be part of the network. Maybe they stay in orbit for a while? I will try to find info on them if they are deployed.