Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2024? | Manifold

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2024?

Basic

4

Ṁ175

Dec 31

15%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#S&P 500 Changes

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Peak to trough? Or start of quarter to end of quarter? Using EOD closing prices?

EOD to EOD day over day so that we capture the entire variation of the year as a series of relative percentage changes.

(i.e. why we don't do start of day to end of day, since that would miss changes that sometimes happen between today's eod and tomorrow's start of day)

Related questions

Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in Q4 2024?

Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 20% over 2024?

Will the S&P 500 increase in every quarter of 2024?

Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2024?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 increase in every quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 10% over 2024?

Related questions

Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in Q4 2024?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 20% over 2024?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 increase in every quarter of 2024?

Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 increase in every quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2024?

Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 10% over 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules